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Forecasts and Analysis of Financial Markets

Surgutneftegaz JSC is at the mercy of speculators

10.06.2024 10:00

"Tax innovations and falling oil prices will not reduce dividends." The financial condition of Surgutneftegaz has a negligible impact on the quotations of the company's ordinary shares, since no dividends are actually...

1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) — the forecast is almost fulfilled, a new forecast and +27.5% per annum

10.06.2024 10:00

Recent changes Since our last the report dated 08/28/2023 of the year, the share price of iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY), expressed in ounces of gold, fell by 17.2%. In a...

Akron – rising costs and lower product prices

07.06.2024 10:00

"Falling fertilizer prices in the world and rising costs within the country"   Low natural gas prices in the world reduce the costs of fertilizer producers, which has a downward impact on the...

NLMK – sale of low-margin assets

06.06.2024 10:00

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT   "Cleveland-Cliffs is in talks to buy NLMK's American plants, Bloomberg writes" The imposition of duties on slabs from the American side and geopolitical tensions have made the company's plants in the...

MMK fittings are getting more expensive

05.06.2024 10:22

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT   "Rebar prices have increased by 18% since the beginning of the year" (million rubles) 2023 2022 2021 2020 P/E 4,93 5,25 3,39 14,3 Revenue 763 400 699 800 873 200 460 200 Net profit 118 200 70 200 229 300 43 700 Dividends (RUB) 0,0 0,00 8,9 4,5   The growth of industry and the construction sector...

Intuit (INTU) – exit of T. Rowe Price Group and +27.2% per annum

05.06.2024 10:00

Recent changes Since our last the report dated 11/17/2023 of the year, the company's shares in gold fell by 12.8%. This could bring up to 27.2% per annum to those who shared...

MOEXOG (Oil and Gas Index) – falling oil prices and OPEC caution

04.06.2024 12:31

"Oil continues to fall on fears of a rate hike by the US Federal Reserve" "OPEC+ has agreed to extend collective production cuts until 2025" The lack of an expected result in combating...

Turkey 10-year government Bonds (TR10) – rebound targets achieved. 69.9% per annum and new goals

03.06.2024 10:00

Recent changes Since our last the report dated 30.08.2023 of the year, the price of ten-year government bonds of Turkey (Turkey 10 Year Government Bonds), expressed in gold, has hardly changed. However,...

MMVB – the foreign policy situation is getting worse, taxes are rising

03.06.2024 09:25

"The largest tax reform has begun in Russia" "The United States has allowed Ukraine to hit certain targets in Russia with American weapons" The planned changes in the tax system have puzzled the...

Ozon – taxes and calculations add risks

31.05.2024 11:00

NEWS / INVESTMENT EVENT "The largest tax reform has begun in Russia" "More and more Chinese banks stop accepting payments in yuan from Russia" As a result of the tax reform, the purchasing power...

Turkey 3-year government bonds (TR03) – forecast fulfilled. 313.7% per annum and new goals

31.05.2024 10:00

Recent changes Since our last the report dated 30.08.2023 of the year, the price of three-year government bonds of Turkey (Turkey 3 Year Government Bonds), expressed in gold, fell by 54.3%. In the...

General market analysis 05/31/2024

31.05.2024 09:30

Greed/fear index The main economic event, of course, was the publication of the second preliminary data on the dynamics of US GDP in the 1st quarter. The forecast assumed that GDP would...

Phosagro – increased tax burden and lower prices for phosphorus fertilizers

30.05.2024 11:12

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT "The Ministry of Finance has proposed to increase the MET for producers of mineral fertilizers by 2 times" Lower prices for phosphorus fertilizers and an increase in the tax burden can...

General market analysis 30.05.2024

30.05.2024 09:30

Greed/fear index The main economic event on Wednesday was the results of the auction for the placement of 7-year treasury bonds worth $ 44 billion. Treasury bond yields continued to rise after a...

Aluminum – failures in the production cycle

29.05.2024 10:04

NEWS / INVESTMENT EVENT "The situation with aluminum P1020 in Europe is acute" Rio Tinto, the second largest alumina producer, has declared force majeure on shipments of alumina from its Australian plants due...

BAYER AG (BAYGn) – the forecast is fulfilled, new goals and 81.9% per annum

29.05.2024 10:00

Recent changes Since our last the report dated 12/01/2023 of the year, the company's shares in gold fell by 22.2%. Our goal of 13.6 was achieved on 03/05/2024, which could bring up...

General market analysis 05/29/2024

29.05.2024 09:30

Greed/fear index The main economic event on Tuesday was the publication of data on the CB consumer confidence index for May. The forecast assumed that the index would decrease from 97.0 in...

RTS Index – synergy of negative factors

28.05.2024 11:36

NEWS / INVESTMENT EVENT "Deputies are coming to the finish line in working with tax legislation" "The head of the Central Bank may raise the key rate again" "Stoltenberg called for allowing Ukraine to...

General market analysis 05/28/2024

28.05.2024 09:30

Greed/fear index The main economic event on Monday was the traditional lack of news on the first day of the week, reinforced by the lack of trading in connection with the celebration...

MOEXOG (Oil and gas index) – falling oil prices and loss of natural gas markets

27.05.2024 10:43

NEWS / INVESTMENT EVENT "Oil continues to fall on fears of a rate hike by the US Federal Reserve" The lack of an expected result in combating inflation forces the Fed to tighten...