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Forecasts and Analysis of Financial Markets

Agency's statement for 6 months of 2024

20.06.2024 11:16

To your attention statement of our investment and analytical agency. You can check not only each publication and the deadlines, but also the effectiveness   Forecasts with links to 2024.06.18  

Tatneft – volatility of key indicators

20.06.2024 09:45

НОВОСТЬ/ИНВЕСТИЦИОННОЕ СОБЫТИЕ   «По итогам 2023 года свободный денежный поток упал на 47%. Капитальные затраты выросли на 39%»   Столь резкая волатильность одних из ключевых показателей, влияющих на, в том числе выплату дивидендов, довольно сильно...

General market analysis 06/20/2024

20.06.2024 09:30

Greed/fear index The main economic event on Wednesday was the lack of trading in connection with the celebration of Freedom Day in the United States. In this regard, the S&P500 and Nasdaq indices...

RGBI – everything is according to plan and +37.0% per annum

19.06.2024 10:00

Recent changes Since our last of the report dated 09/01/2023 the price of the Russian government bond index (RGBI), expressed in ounces of gold, fell by 22.6%. In the last review, we noted...

MOEX10 (Blue Chip Index) – the state concentrates resources

19.06.2024 09:45

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT "The largest tax reform has begun in Russia" "The Central Bank may raise the key rate in July" A significant increase in the tax burden, a trend towards an increase in the...

General market analysis 06/19/2024

19.06.2024 09:30

Greed/fear index The main economic event on Tuesday was the announcement that the Technology Select Sector SPDR fund will rebalance at the end of trading on Friday, as a result of which...

Raspadskaya – coal miners are hoarding negativity

18.06.2024 09:45

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT   "The profit of Russian coal companies fell by 97% in January-March" Lower coal prices, logistical problems in shipping to Asia and tax innovations reduce the attractiveness of the company's shares. The...

General market analysis 06/18/2024

18.06.2024 09:30

Greed/fear index The main economic event on Monday was the traditional lack of news on the first day of the week. In the last report, we noted that markets in the United...

Rosneft – the sanctions fight continues

17.06.2024 09:45

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT "G7 countries will tighten sanctions against oil and metals from Russia" New "innovative" sanctions are gradually narrowing the range of possible circumventions of current restrictions without consequences for counterparties. The increase...

General market analysis 06/17/2024

17.06.2024 09:30

Index of greed/fear The main economic event on Friday was the publication of data on the consumer sentiment index from the University of Michigan for June. The forecast assumed that it would...

Norilsk Nickel – a bouquet of risks

14.06.2024 10:00

Norilsk Nickel – a bouquet of risks NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT "In 2023, sanctions restrictions and geopolitical challenges put significant pressure on Norilsk Nickel's financial performance "Long-term negative trends in nickel and palladium" A significant reduction in...

Nickel supplies from Russia may decrease

13.06.2024 10:00

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT   "Nickel and aluminum prices on the LME are likely to rise due to Russian sanctions"   The excessive production of nickel in the world and the low price of the metal allows...

EUR/USD – strong America and “muddy” Europe

12.06.2024 10:00

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT "The number of jobs in the US non-agricultural sector increased by 272,000 in May. This figure exceeded market expectations of 185,000 and April's growth of 165,000 by a wide margin" "Inflation...

20+Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) – strange optimism about long-term debt and +36.8% per annum

12.06.2024 10:00

Recent changes Since our last the report dated 08/28/2023 of the year, the share price of the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF, expressed in ounces of gold, fell by 21.8%. In a...

Gazpromneft – Gazprom's influence and lower oil prices

11.06.2024 10:00

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT "Gazprom Neft will switch to a management model similar to the parent company from April 5" Gazprom has a reputation for not being the most efficient business. Dividends and increasing shareholder...

Surgutneftegaz JSC is at the mercy of speculators

10.06.2024 10:00

"Tax innovations and falling oil prices will not reduce dividends." The financial condition of Surgutneftegaz has a negligible impact on the quotations of the company's ordinary shares, since no dividends are actually...

1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) — the forecast is almost fulfilled, a new forecast and +27.5% per annum

10.06.2024 10:00

Recent changes Since our last the report dated 08/28/2023 of the year, the share price of iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY), expressed in ounces of gold, fell by 17.2%. In a...

Akron – rising costs and lower product prices

07.06.2024 10:00

"Falling fertilizer prices in the world and rising costs within the country"   Low natural gas prices in the world reduce the costs of fertilizer producers, which has a downward impact on the...

NLMK – sale of low-margin assets

06.06.2024 10:00

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT   "Cleveland-Cliffs is in talks to buy NLMK's American plants, Bloomberg writes" The imposition of duties on slabs from the American side and geopolitical tensions have made the company's plants in the...

MMK fittings are getting more expensive

05.06.2024 10:22

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT   "Rebar prices have increased by 18% since the beginning of the year" (million rubles) 2023 2022 2021 2020 P/E 4,93 5,25 3,39 14,3 Revenue 763 400 699 800 873 200 460 200 Net profit 118 200 70 200 229 300 43 700 Dividends (RUB) 0,0 0,00 8,9 4,5   The growth of industry and the construction sector...