The 4-month report of the Era of Changes investment and analytical agency on completed and planned forecasts (Statement)
The average yield of our short–term recommendations from 05/02/2024 to 09/02/2024 is 164% per annum. In the previous report, for the first 4 months of 2024, the yield was 108%.
Why annual payments? Because if the deal was profitable, it is important to release funds for new investments as soon as possible. If the transaction generated 10% revenue in 5 days, it is much more effective than in 2 months. Because this is the time the money is locked in a profitable, but too long-drawn-out idea.
The same applies to unprofitable transactions. If you make a lot of short-stop closing trades, for example -1%, every other day, you will lose half of the portfolio after 50 trading days. But if the stop is triggered after 5 days, then only after 250 trading days.
Why are there so many stops? Because the task of the manager is to limit losses and allow profits to flow.
Many deals closed in the footsteps ended up being profitable.
But we can't let money get stuck in such deals for long. Because it reduces the average return on investment (see the first paragraph).
Pay attention to the large bias in the profitability of profitable trades against unprofitable ones. This is our job. So during the reporting period there were 50 (58.1%) profitable transactions and 36 (41.9%) unprofitable ones. The average income of profitable transactions is 9.3%, the average loss of unprofitable transactions is 2.3%.
Is it a lot of 164% per annum? Yes, that's a lot. For example, from 05/02/2024, the ruble strengthened against the dollar from 93.07 to 89.80. That is, investing in the dollar brought a loss of 10.5% per annum. Subtract from here the income from placing dollars in money market instruments at 5.3% per annum and get -5.2% per annum in rubles.
The MICEX index in rubles decreased during this time from 3442.83 to 2545.07 points, i.e. showed a negative yield of -78.2% per annum. The only instrument that could bring income was a ruble deposit. If the investment was at 18% per annum, possible on 05/02/2024, it would be 9.1 times less profitable than following our recommendations.
Disclamer. Past results do not guarantee the same income in the future, which may differ both less and more. The analytics presented here are also designed for people who have at least a basic understanding of the Russian financial market.
If you have difficulties with the practical implementation of our recommendations, you can use the services of our specialists with the Portfolio Consultant package at the link: https://eraperemen.info/priobresti /
