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Forecasts and Analysis of Financial Markets

General market analysis 11/07/2024

07.11.2024 09:30

Greed/fear index The main economic event on Wednesday was the publication of preliminary data on the results of the US presidential election. Here's what we wrote about it in the last review: "We...

RTS – Trump's victory does not play for oil growth

06.11.2024 15:23

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT 08/16/24. "Donald Trump promised to reduce energy prices if he wins the election" 09.09.24. "Trump: the United States will impose one hundred percent duties on goods of countries that have abandoned...

AFK Sistema (AFKS) – no hope for dividends and +115.4%

06.11.2024 10:00

Recent changes Since our first the report dated 07.07.2023 the company's shares in gold fell by 53.6%. This could bring up to 115.4% or 87.8% per annum to those who shared our...

General market analysis 11/06/2024

06.11.2024 09:30

Greed/fear index The main economic event on Tuesday was the publication of revised data on the business activity index (PMI) in the US services sector for October. The index was expected to...

TTF Natural Gas – Iran is close to the point of no return

05.11.2024 12:48

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT "Foreign Ministry: Iran has agreed on a response to recent Israeli strikes" An Iranian strike on Israel with more destructive weapons is highly likely to trigger a more powerful Israeli response,...

General market analysis 11/05/2024

05.11.2024 09:30

Greed/fear index The main economic event on Monday was the traditional lack of news for Monday. In these circumstances, stock markets have shifted their attention to the fact that the Fed will...

Sberbank (SBER) – the decline will continue and +65.2%

04.11.2024 10:00

Recent changes Since our first the report dated 30.06.2023 the company's shares in gold fell by 39.5%. It could bring up to 65.2% or 48.9% per annum to those who shared our...

General market analysis 11/04/2024

04.11.2024 09:30

Greed/fear index The main economic event on Friday was the publication of changes in the number of people employed in the US non-agricultural sector for October. It was expected that the growth...

Sberbank JSC – high rates squeeze the economy

01.11.2024 16:53

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT "Bloomberg: the rate hike led to a recession in the Russian economy in the third quarter of 2024" "The regulator pays special attention to loans with floating rates, which already occupy...

20+Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) – optimism about long-term debt continues and +47.1%

01.11.2024 10:00

Recent changes Since our first the report dated 08/28/2023 of the year, the share price of the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF, expressed in ounces of gold, fell by 32.0%. In the...

MIX (MICEX index futures) – prerequisites for a perfect storm

29.10.2024 15:20

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT "On October 25, the Bank of Russia raised the key rate to a record level of 21% per annum and made it clear that this may not be the limit" "Tax...

Bashneft JSC – oil adds negativity

28.10.2024 13:42

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT   "Bashneft's net profit under IFRS fell by 30.6% in the 1st half of 2024 and amounted to 53.096 billion." "Israel's retaliatory strikes against Iran over the weekend did not affect the...

1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) – exactly as planned and +40.1%

28.10.2024 10:00

Recent changes Since our first the report dated 08/28/2023 of the year, the share price of iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY), expressed in ounces of gold, fell by 28.6%. In the...

AFK Sistema – debts reset the acquired

25.10.2024 16:00

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT "Market conditions are not conducive to the IPO of subsidiaries" "The rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation has updated the high" Attracting significant funds to the company through the...

Turkey 10-year government bonds (TR10) – the goals are the same and +90.5%

25.10.2024 10:00

Recent changes Since our first the report dated 30.08.2023 of the year, the price of ten-year government bonds of Turkey (Turkey 10 Year Government Bonds), expressed in gold, decreased by 17.3%. However,...

Palladium – sanctions support

24.10.2024 13:29

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT "The United States called on the G7 to consider sanctions against palladium and titanium from the Russian Federation" Russia supplies about 40% of the palladium volume to the market. Restrictions on...

MMK – lack of finance slows down construction

22.10.2024 17:46

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT "Compared to Q2, the company reduced steel production by 27%, and sales of metal products decreased by 19%" "Sanctions restrictions and the slowdown in the construction industry increase competition within the...

Brent oil – The Middle East intrigue

21.10.2024 16:39

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT "Israel has decided on a response to Iran's missile strikes" "The Israeli Air Force hit 175 targets in Lebanon and the Gaza Strip during the day" An Israeli retaliatory strike against Iran...

Turkey 3-year government bonds (TR03) – all according to plan and 127.9% per annum

21.10.2024 10:00

Recent changes Since the execution of our first the report dated 30.08.2023 of the year, the price of three-year government bonds of Turkey (Turkey 3 Year Government Bonds), expressed in gold, fell...

NLMK – the prospects are alarming

18.10.2024 13:50

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT "Steel production and crude oil refining in China continue to fall" "Sanctions restrictions and the slowdown in the construction industry increase competition within the country" The limited monetary stimulus measures of the...