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Forecasts and Analysis of Financial Markets

General market analysis 11/05/2024

05.11.2024 09:30

Greed/fear index The main economic event on Monday was the traditional lack of news for Monday. In these circumstances, stock markets have shifted their attention to the fact that the Fed will...

Sberbank (SBER) – the decline will continue and +65.2%

04.11.2024 10:00

Recent changes Since our first the report dated 30.06.2023 the company's shares in gold fell by 39.5%. It could bring up to 65.2% or 48.9% per annum to those who shared our...

General market analysis 11/04/2024

04.11.2024 09:30

Greed/fear index The main economic event on Friday was the publication of changes in the number of people employed in the US non-agricultural sector for October. It was expected that the growth...

Sberbank JSC – high rates squeeze the economy

01.11.2024 16:53

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT "Bloomberg: the rate hike led to a recession in the Russian economy in the third quarter of 2024" "The regulator pays special attention to loans with floating rates, which already occupy...

20+Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) – optimism about long-term debt continues and +47.1%

01.11.2024 10:00

Recent changes Since our first the report dated 08/28/2023 of the year, the share price of the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF, expressed in ounces of gold, fell by 32.0%. In the...

MIX (MICEX index futures) – prerequisites for a perfect storm

29.10.2024 15:20

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT "On October 25, the Bank of Russia raised the key rate to a record level of 21% per annum and made it clear that this may not be the limit" "Tax...

Bashneft JSC – oil adds negativity

28.10.2024 13:42

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT   "Bashneft's net profit under IFRS fell by 30.6% in the 1st half of 2024 and amounted to 53.096 billion." "Israel's retaliatory strikes against Iran over the weekend did not affect the...

1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) – exactly as planned and +40.1%

28.10.2024 10:00

Recent changes Since our first the report dated 08/28/2023 of the year, the share price of iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY), expressed in ounces of gold, fell by 28.6%. In the...

AFK Sistema – debts reset the acquired

25.10.2024 16:00

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT "Market conditions are not conducive to the IPO of subsidiaries" "The rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation has updated the high" Attracting significant funds to the company through the...

Turkey 10-year government bonds (TR10) – the goals are the same and +90.5%

25.10.2024 10:00

Recent changes Since our first the report dated 30.08.2023 of the year, the price of ten-year government bonds of Turkey (Turkey 10 Year Government Bonds), expressed in gold, decreased by 17.3%. However,...

Palladium – sanctions support

24.10.2024 13:29

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT "The United States called on the G7 to consider sanctions against palladium and titanium from the Russian Federation" Russia supplies about 40% of the palladium volume to the market. Restrictions on...

MMK – lack of finance slows down construction

22.10.2024 17:46

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT "Compared to Q2, the company reduced steel production by 27%, and sales of metal products decreased by 19%" "Sanctions restrictions and the slowdown in the construction industry increase competition within the...

Brent oil – The Middle East intrigue

21.10.2024 16:39

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT "Israel has decided on a response to Iran's missile strikes" "The Israeli Air Force hit 175 targets in Lebanon and the Gaza Strip during the day" An Israeli retaliatory strike against Iran...

Turkey 3-year government bonds (TR03) – all according to plan and 127.9% per annum

21.10.2024 10:00

Recent changes Since the execution of our first the report dated 30.08.2023 of the year, the price of three-year government bonds of Turkey (Turkey 3 Year Government Bonds), expressed in gold, fell...

NLMK – the prospects are alarming

18.10.2024 13:50

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT "Steel production and crude oil refining in China continue to fall" "Sanctions restrictions and the slowdown in the construction industry increase competition within the country" The limited monetary stimulus measures of the...

RGBI – the forecast is fulfilled and +69.2%. The reversal is close, but the best strategy so far is out of the market.

18.10.2024 10:00

Recent changes Since our first of the report dated 09/01/2023 the price of the Russian government bond index (RGBI), expressed in ounces of gold, fell by 40.9%. In the first review, we noted...

General market analysis 10/18/2024

18.10.2024 09:30

Greed/fear index The main economic event on Thursday was the publication of the basic index of retail sales in the United States for September. The forecast assumed that the growth in retail...

SLVRUB (silver) – a new era of energy

17.10.2024 12:06

NEWS/INVESTMENT EVENT "Silver imports to India are projected to almost double this year due to growing demand from solar panel and electronics manufacturers." "Industrial demand for silver has reached another record high, in...

General market analysis 10/17/2024

17.10.2024 09:30

Greed/fear index The main economic event on Wednesday was not the traditional lack of news for the middle of the week. In these circumstances, market participants preferred to focus on upcoming events,...

St. Petersburg Stock Exchange – in search of an idea for growth

16.10.2024 16:53

"In the first half of 2024, the volume of trading in all securities in all trading modes (including REPO) on the St. Petersburg Stock Exchange decreased by 97% to 101 billion...