Political analytics and forecasts Partly open
Evening Political Roundup, October 22, 2026
The MOEX Index fell below 2,430 points on the day Trump called peace “closer than ever,” while Dmitriev promised new projects: the market had already priced in Whitcoff’s visit and is awaiting the Central Bank’s rate decision on Friday. Oil is at its highest level since May due to attacks in the Persian Gulf; Turkey lowered its tax rate to 36%; the Norwegian sovereign wealth fund lost 278 billion kroner on bonds, and the Central Bank revoked the license of the non-profit organization “Tydon.” We break down why money is expensive everywhere and why the market no longer pays for promises.
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- the full set of indicators and market factors;
- an interpretation of the current picture;
- conclusions and the signals that follow.