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Research catalogue Political analytics and forecasts Evening Political Roundup, October 29, 2026

Political analytics and forecasts Partly open 29.10.2026

Evening Political Roundup, October 29, 2026

In a single day, the State Duma passed three budget bills in their first reading: the oil cut-off price is lowered to $50; spending for 2027 is authorized to exceed the limit by 1.5 trillion rubles; and in the event of security threats, the budget may be drawn up for a single year. In the same package, the minimum wage is decoupled from the median salary, the universal allowance is tied to bank statements, and municipalities will transfer 8% of personal income tax to the regions. Siluanov specified the cost of each inflation point and the budget rates. The IMF called the oil and gas shock the largest since 1974; Israel lost its majority; and the U.S. imposed sanctions on Russians for providing cryptocurrency to North Korea. We’ll break down which oil prices and which war are driving the government to rewrite the budget rule.

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Continue the topic Political analytics and forecasts More on geopolitics and how it moves markets. View

Инфляция Израиль МВФ Прогноз Россия

Next material War Awaits the Ballots: Why Iran Will Be Finished Off Immediately After the Election The next material in this section. Previous material Hostages of Eternal Autumn: Why Aging Leaders Won't Step Down Without a Major Bloodbath The previous material in this section. Section Political analytics and forecasts Back to all materials in this section.

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