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Research catalogue Political analytics and forecasts Riyadh Under Attack: Why the Mecca Pact Won't Save the Day and There Won't Be a War Between Sunnis and Shiites

Political analytics and forecasts Partly open 20.09.2026

Riyadh Under Attack: Why the Mecca Pact Won't Save the Day and There Won't Be a War Between Sunnis and Shiites

For the first time in this phase of the war, the Houthis have reached Riyadh; Aramco has halted shipments to European refineries for a month; and the Mecca Pact with Turkey and Pakistan is facing its first test in battle. We answer the key questions: Will Saudi Arabia strike back, and if so, how? Will Ankara intervene? Will Europe get involved? And is a major war between Sunnis and Shiites really beginning? Spoiler: There won’t be a war of religions; there will be a war of infrastructure—it’s more costly.

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Continue the topic Political analytics and forecasts More on geopolitics and how it moves markets. View

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Next material The Cadastral Trap: Why Imported Concrete Is No Longer a Safe Bet The next material in this section. Previous material The End of the Fintech Showcase: Why You Can No Longer Open a U.S. Bank Account with a Passport Scan The previous material in this section. Section Political analytics and forecasts Back to all materials in this section.

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