Political analytics and forecasts Partly open
You thought you could escape to the countryside and wait it out. They'll come there, too.
Fleeing to the countryside seems like a sensible plan—until the state runs out of resources. Then it goes after not those who are poor, but those who clearly have something to take. In 1930–1931, 381,026 families were sent to special settlements—and between 200,000 and 250,000 families saved themselves not by a sturdy fence, but by abandoning their farms and fleeing to the cities. Today, the same mechanism is at work in the Novosibirsk Region, where livestock was confiscated from private homesteads, and in the policy for rural agglomerations, where 1% of settlements will serve as focal points. Let’s examine why a summer cottage with a generator and a well is not a fortress, but an inventory.
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- the full set of indicators and market factors;
- an interpretation of the current picture;
- conclusions and the signals that follow.