Political analytics and forecasts Partly open
Evening Political Roundup, November 1, 2026
Over the past 24 hours, the Russian Ministry of Defense reported that two dry cargo ships had been struck off the coast of Odessa; Slovakia is heading into winter with gas reserves at 42% of its seasonal needs; and in Bulgaria, only one in five voters had cast their ballots by midday. Against the backdrop of a diesel shortage, the OPEC+ “Seven” meeting, and a tear gas-dispersed demonstration in Paris, we examine why the war has finally spilled over into energy prices and who is footing the bill.
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- the full set of indicators and market factors;
- an interpretation of the current picture;
- conclusions and the signals that follow.