Political analytics and forecasts Partly open
Evening Political Roundup: October 11, 2026
Strike on Riyadh Airport: 12 dead, more than 300 wounded; Houthis order airlines to avoid Saudi airspace. In response to criticism of the diesel deal, Trump said it was “time for Ukraine to get a new president.” The Strait of Hormuz is closed; the bottleneck of the global economy is now refineries, not oil wells. We examine who is paying the risk premium first and what could turn the tables.
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- the full set of indicators and market factors;
- an interpretation of the current picture;
- conclusions and the signals that follow.