Political analytics and forecasts Partly open
Evening Political Roundup, October 19, 2026
Trump has notified Congress of a suspension of sanctions against Russia under the “Graham Act” and is demanding that Kyiv stop attacking oil refineries: diesel prices in the U.S. are at record highs, and elections are coming up. France has experienced its worst unrest in decades: 2,400 people have been arrested, and nearly 1,000 police officers have been injured. Putin signed a law on the implementation of the Social Fund budget totaling 16.357 trillion rubles; Mishustin submitted five nominations for government positions to the Duma. We examine why the Western coalition on Ukraine is fracturing not over ideology, but over the price per liter, and who is profiting from it.
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- the full set of indicators and market factors;
- an interpretation of the current picture;
- conclusions and the signals that follow.
