Political analytics and forecasts Partly open
Evening Political Roundup: October 4, 2026
Washington has dusted off a bill imposing tariffs of up to 100% on buyers of Russian oil and up to 500% on Russian goods, but is delaying a decision until the very last day. The Ministry of Defense continues to strike Ukrainian ports, while the Ministry of Finance, meanwhile, has paid salaries in digital rubles for the first time. We’ll break down what poses a real threat, what’s just a bargaining tactic, and what conditions will either confirm or rule out this scenario.
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- the full set of indicators and market factors;
- an interpretation of the current picture;
- conclusions and the signals that follow.
