Political analytics and forecasts Partly open
The End of Convenient Neutrality: How Financial Pressure Is Squeezing Transit Countries
A trade corridor between geopolitical blocs may remain open on the map—but cease to function within the banking system. Why Turkey, the UAE, and Central Asia risk paying the price for their multi-vector approach, and what this means for business over the next 3–12 months.
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- the full set of indicators and market factors;
- an interpretation of the current picture;
- conclusions and the signals that follow.