Political analytics and forecasts Partly open
Evening Political Roundup: October 10, 2026
Trump reached an agreement with Putin to release Russian diesel onto the global market: 300,000 metric tons immediately, 500,000 in November, and a million to follow, and the U.S. Treasury Department has already issued a temporary license. Mélenchon called the EU’s sanctions policy worthless, as long as Europe continues to bear its burden. Meanwhile, cables are being cut in the Baltic Sea. Sanctions turned out to be a bargaining chip rather than a principle. We’ll break down who stands to gain from the deal and what could derail it.
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- the full set of indicators and market factors;
- an interpretation of the current picture;
- conclusions and the signals that follow.
