Political analytics and forecasts Partly open
The End of the Era of Cheap Resources: Why Europe Is Taking to the Streets, While Russia Holds Its Ground
Protests in Paris, strikes across France, and a record showing by “Alternative for Germany” in regional elections. All of this is usually explained by politics—but behind the politics lies a broken economic chain that has sustained European prosperity over the past decades. We’ll examine exactly what has broken down, why the two sides of this divide are bearing the costs in completely different ways—and what conclusions this draws regarding the limits of military escalation in Europe.
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- the full set of indicators and market factors;
- an interpretation of the current picture;
- conclusions and the signals that follow.