Political analytics and forecasts
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Political analytics and forecasts
An Era of Change: From Fulfilled Predictions to the Outlines of the Future The world is not merely experiencing a series of crises—it is undergoing a fundamental restructuring. The unipolar system, which for decades was based on U.S....
Political analytics and forecasts
Over the past 24 hours, world events have clearly shown that the planet’s transportation arteries are becoming prime targets. News analysis for July 25–26, 2026, notes a critical expansion of the combat zone in the Middle East and Eurasia....
Political analytics and forecasts
If you believed that wars in the 21st century would be fought exclusively by drones, hackers, and small professional armies, recent political decisions have put an end to that illusion once and for all. The main political trend of the past...
Political analytics and forecasts
Macroeconomic and geopolitical risks make it necessary to prepare for the most severe scenarios. One such scenario is an institutional breakdown in which the Russian Federation’s government and document processing systems (Civil Registry...
Political analytics and forecasts
The legislative activity of recent months is no longer appearing as a collection of disparate initiatives. An analysis of legal acts and departmental directives reveals a clear picture: the state apparatus is systematically preparing for a...
Political analytics and forecasts
It would seem to be a fundamental principle of war: “Don’t change horses midstream.” However, in Kyiv, this principle appears to be considered outdated. A series of high-profile reshuffles in Ukraine’s military leadership—from the...
Political analytics and forecasts
While we’re eagerly watching neural networks draw beautiful pictures and write texts for us, a far more mundane and painful trend is unfolding around the world. If you look at what ordinary people have been Googling most often over the...
Political analytics and forecasts
Yesterday’s flurry of discussions in specialized emigration chat rooms and relocation forums boils down to one panicked question: “Why was my account blocked if I have a European residence permit?” The global trend of recent weeks—which...
Political analytics and forecasts
While social media feeds and financial news headlines are bursting with excitement over yet another breakthrough in neural networks or the soaring stock prices of tech giants, a far more revealing process is unfolding behind the scenes....
Political analytics and forecasts
The U.S. strategy in the Middle East has reached an impasse. The attempt to resolve the Iranian issue through a “shock and awe” campaign followed by an economic blockade has failed. The conflict has entered a phase of tit-for-tat strikes,...
Political analytics and forecasts
The latest data leak from Ksenia Sobchak’s hacked accounts is not just another high-profile scandal or a topic for the gossip columns. For those accustomed to analyzing information systematically, this incident has served as a stark...
Political analytics and forecasts
The notion that the collapse of the Soviet Union was the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the 20th century has become firmly entrenched in public discourse. However, a macroanalysis of the social and political processes of the past...
Political analytics and forecasts
The outcomes of the Istanbul summit mark the West’s definitive shift away from a strategy of “containment through diplomacy” toward a strategy of “mobilization economy” and the direct weakening of the adversary. 1. Military Keynesianism: A...
Political analytics and forecasts
A fuel crisis in one of the world’s largest oil-producing countries seems like an oxymoron, but from the perspective of systems analysis, it is an entirely logical outcome. Undoubtedly, military operations and targeted strikes on oil...
Political analytics and forecasts
A new narrative is actively taking shape in the media to explain the rapidly worsening fuel shortage. A popular conspiracy theory claims that there is no real crisis: the authorities are allegedly artificially creating a fuel shortage to...
Political analytics and forecasts
In the coming months, a key indicator for assessing geopolitical risks will be a qualitative shift in the statements made by senior Russian officials. To predict the next steps in the current conflict, it is necessary to closely monitor...
Political analytics and forecasts
The current fuel crisis in Russia has entered a phase of systemic breakdown. As of early July 2026, restrictions at gas stations had spread to 61 regions, including Siberia and the Far East. Long lines on highways, a ban on filling jerry...
Political analytics and forecasts
The question of “who rules the country” often boils down to a search for simple answers: studying genealogical records, looking for hidden surnames, or analyzing the ethnic composition of cabinets. However, to understand why state...
Political analytics and forecasts
We are on the brink of events that will forever change the reality we know. What now seems to many to be nothing more than background noise in the news risks turning into a veritable historical storm within the next month. The Russian...
