Political analytics and forecasts
What's Setting the Agenda TodayThe Government of Tuva Has Been DismissedThe government of the Republic of Tuva has been dismissed; cabinet members will continue to perform their duties until a new government is formed. The dismissal of the...
Political analytics and forecasts
Tehran's reservoirs have fallen to 12% of their capacity, and Iran's president has warned of a possible partial evacuation of the capital, while 99% of Qatar’s drinking water comes from desalination plants concentrated in a few dozen...
Political analytics and forecasts
What's Setting the Agenda TodayMore than 4.8 billion rubles will be allocated this year for the construction of modular hotels in the regionsPrime Minister Mikhail Mishustin announced at a meeting with deputy prime ministers that in 2026,...
Political analytics and forecasts
What's Setting the Agenda TodayTrump Announces Record Oil Shipments Through the Strait of HormuzU.S. President Donald Trump told reporters at the White House that tankers, with U.S. support, transported a record volume of oil through the...
Political analytics and forecasts
In 2026, four American corporations will invest up to $630 billion in artificial intelligence infrastructure—a 62% increase over last year’s record figure. At the same time, Chinese labs are making comparable models freely available and...
Political analytics and forecasts
What's on the Agenda TodayThe Cabinet of Ministers has allocated an additional 1.2 billion rubles for the social gasification programPrime Minister Mikhail Mishustin signed an order allocating an additional 1.2 billion rubles from the...
Political analytics and forecasts
The South is aging and losing its workforce, while the North sits on trillions’ worth of resources but lacks capital. Economically, the merger looks flawless: technology plus cheap labor equals Asia’s superfactory. Let’s take a serious...
Political analytics and forecasts
What's Shaping the Agenda TodayMoscow Condemns Countries That Pose Threats to Global Maritime LogisticsAt the inaugural meeting of the Group of Friends on Maritime Security and Seafarers in New York, convened at the initiative of India and...
Political analytics and forecasts
The money sitting in accounts in Istanbul, Astana, or Bishkek is indeed dwindling. But not because of a “coordinated package of emergency measures”—which never existed—but because of inflation nearing 30% and the mandatory conversion of a...
Political analytics and forecasts
What's Shaping the Agenda TodayUtility rates will be indexed by 11% in 2027The rate adjustment will affect everyone without exception: housing and utility costs will rise amid accelerating price growth. According to the Ministry of...
Political analytics and forecasts
After banks, real estate, insurance, and stablecoins, the last remaining payment instrument is physical gold. And it, too, is ceasing to function as a universal pass. As of September 1, Russia has restricted the export of gold bars and...
Political analytics and forecasts
What's Shaping the Agenda TodayIf the Strait of Hormuz crisis continues, oil prices could exceed the Bank of Russia’s forecastOngoing restrictions on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz are already keeping oil prices above the Central...
Political analytics and forecasts
USDT and USDC turned out not to be freely available funds, but rather a digital dollar with a freeze button. Tether has already frozen $5.7 billion across 9,500 addresses, and now the freeze takes effect within hours of being added to the...
Political analytics and forecasts
What's Setting the Agenda TodayThe company that supplies heat to Chisinau is asking the regulator to nearly double rates for city residents“Thermoelektrika” has submitted a request to the National Energy Regulatory Agency to raise the...
Political analytics and forecasts
It is not aircraft carriers or customs that bring global trade to a halt. It is the underwriter’s signature in London: without an insurance policy, a ship will not dock, and a truck will not cross the border. We’ll break down how this...
Political analytics and forecasts
One and a half thousand drones in a single night, the largest attack on Moscow since 2022, and the Kremlin’s promise to retaliate. On the same day, the DPR gives “United Russia” more than 80% of the vote, while the Moscow Exchange Index...
Political analytics and forecasts
The accounts have already been audited, and so have the companies. What remains is the concrete reality: an apartment by the sea that can’t be shut down with the click of a mouse. Starting July 10, 2026, the EU will open access to...
Political analytics and forecasts
For the first time in this phase of the war, the Houthis have reached Riyadh; Aramco has suspended shipments to European refineries for a month; and the Mecca Pact with Turkey and Pakistan is facing its first test in combat. We answer the...
Political analytics and forecasts
American neobanks are closing accounts held by companies with foreign owners. The reason isn’t data leaks or a conspiracy: the regulator has shifted responsibility for the customer from the fintech company to the sponsoring bank, and the...
Political analytics and forecasts
The House of Representatives passed the Graham Act: tariffs of up to 500% on Russian goods and up to 100% on goods from the five largest buyers of our oil. Four days ago, we wrote that the noose is tightening not at the borders, but in the...
